A recent survey conducted among over 2,700 AI experts has revealed that the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on job roles is anticipated to occur much faster than previously estimated. The study, led by Katja Grace and Harlan Stewart from the University of California at Berkeley, aimed to assess the progress towards achieving high-level machine intelligence, where machines possess the capability to outperform humans in every task.
The survey results indicate that there is a decent chance that all human tasks will be highly automatable by the year 2116, a significant shift compared to the previous forecast of 2164 made just a year ago. This accelerated timeline is mainly attributed to rapid developments in the field of AI, set to reshape the roles of IT and business professionals within the next five to ten years.
While the long-term projections are intriguing, the survey also sheds light on the short-term capabilities of AI. Within the next five to ten years, AI systems are expected to accomplish various tasks prompted by only a single sentence. Some of these capabilities include finding and patching security flaws in open-source projects, building fully functional payment processing websites, providing phone banking services equivalent to human operators, and writing readable Python code for algorithms.
The researchers emphasize that the drop in computing costs will significantly contribute to the advancement of AI. If the current pace continues, there is a 10% chance that unaided machines will outperform humans in all tasks by 2027, and a 50% chance by 2047. This latter estimate is 13 years earlier than previously projected.
In addition to exploring AI’s impact on task performance, the study also considers the complete automation of labor. The researchers predict a 10% chance of all human occupations being fully automatable by 2037, with a 50% chance by 2116. This timeline represents a notable advancement compared to the 2022 survey, which predicted full automation by 2164.
As AI progresses, businesses and industries will need to adapt to this transformative technology. While there are concerns about potential job displacement, the survey’s findings suggest that AI will play an increasingly significant role in the evolving workforce in the coming years. Organizations must proactively prepare for this future by aligning their strategies with the rapid advancements in AI technology.
The source of the article is from the blog queerfeed.com.br